Decision CenterDecision Engine Output
Decision Intelligence
Turning predictions into contextual operational decisions.
Decision Case
DI-2026-0922-001
Opened 22 Sep 2026, 14:05
Asset
M-103
CNC Machining Center
Trigger
Predictive Maintenance Alert
PM-2026-184
Prediction (input)
78% bearing failure risk within 5–8 days
RECOMMENDEDAwaiting approval
Context Considered
Data the predictive model does not see1.Machine Risk
- Failure Probability
- 78%
- Est. Failure Downtime
- 12 hours
2.Production
- Utilization
- 91%
- Open Orders
- 14
- Critical Orders
- 3
- Next Low-Load Window
- Saturday 22:00–01:00
3.Customer Impact
- Orders potentially affected
- 3
- Priority Customer
- PT Nusantara Components
- SLA Risk
- MEDIUM
4.Spare Part
- Part
- SPB-440 Spindle Bearing
- Inventory
- 2 units
- Location
- Jakarta Maint. Warehouse
- Status
- AVAILABLE
5.Technician
- Required Skill
- CNC Mechanical Maint.
- Team A
- Unavailable
- Team B
- Available Sat 21:00–02:00
6.Backup Capacity
- Backup Asset
- M-104
- Available Capacity
- 72%
- Can absorb production
- YES
7.Cost
- Planned Maintenance
- Rp 18M
- Est. Unplanned Failure
- Rp 145M
- Potential Avoided Exposure
- Rp 127M
8.Safety / Operational Risk
- Safety Risk
- Medium
- Operational Criticality
- High
Decision Engine · Transparent multi-factor model
Decision Engine Output| Factor | Weight | Normalized score (0–100) | Weighted |
|---|---|---|---|
Failure Risk 78% probability, +14 pts in 48h (+6) | 25% | 84 | 21.00 |
Operational Criticality High criticality | 20% | 95 | 19.00 |
Production Impact 91% utilization · 12h downtime · 72% backup | 20% | 90 | 18.00 |
Customer / SLA Impact 3 critical orders · SLA risk Medium | 10% | 85 | 8.50 |
Resource Availability Qualified team available in window | 10% | 80 | 8.00 |
Spare Part Availability Part in stock | 5% | 100 | 5.00 |
Safety Risk Medium safety risk | 5% | 60 | 3.00 |
Cost Exposure Rp 145M unplanned exposure | 5% | 97 | 4.85 |
Decision Priority Score
87
/ 100
AI Recommended Action
Schedule preventive maintenance for M-103.
RECOMMENDED
Recommended Window
Saturday
22:00–01:00
Recommended Team
Maintenance Team B
CNC Mechanical
Required Part
SPB-440 Spindle Bearing
1 unit
Expected Downtime
3 hours
planned
Est. Avoided Exposure
Rp 127M
vs unplanned failure
Confidence
89%
decision confidence
Production Mitigation: Shift affected production to M-104 beginning 20:00.
Why this action?
- Failure risk is high and increasing
- Production demand is lower Saturday night
- Required spare part is available
- Qualified technician is available
- Backup machine M-104 has sufficient capacity
- Three critical orders remain protected
- Planned intervention is significantly cheaper than unplanned failure
Generative AI Explanation
M-103 is likely to suffer spindle bearing failure within 5–8 days. Waiting for Saturday night keeps risk acceptable while avoiding any impact on the three priority orders for PT Nusantara Components. Team B and the SPB-440 bearing are both available in that window, and M-104 can absorb production from 20:00 — making a Rp 18M planned stop far preferable to a potential Rp 145M unplanned failure.
Narrative generated from decision-engine outputs. It explains the decision; it does not make it.